About Me

Hi, I’m Seth Neumuller, an Associate Professor of Economics at Wellesley College. I teach and research macroeconomics and finance, and I hold a Ph.D. in economics from UCLA. You can read more about my academic work here.

I started Mildly Efficient (and Occasionally Rational) as an outlet to think out loud about the macroeconomy and financial markets, without the publication lag or academic overhead. This blog lets me write about what I find interesting, on my own terms, without the need to impress a journal editor or referee with 15 pages of derivations and an appendix full of robustness checks.

Here, I apply economic models to real-world problems, using first principles to navigate the space between elegant theory and messy reality. My goal is simple: to distill complex ideas and market developments in a way that’s thoughtful, grounded, and occasionally even useful. I care less about precision and more about perspective, what the frameworks suggest, where they fall short, and how they might help make sense of what’s actually happening in the world.

You don’t need a graduate degree in economics or finance to follow along. I try to keep things grounded, accessible, and occasionally even a little fun.

No hot takes. Just thoughtful ones.

Thanks for reading, and if you’re mildly curious, I hope you’ll subscribe.


Disclaimer: The articles published on this substack are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice. The views expressed are those of the author and do not constitute a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Readers should conduct their own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

User's avatar

Subscribe to Mildly Efficient (and Occasionally Rational)

A macro-finance blog navigating the space between elegant theory and real-world messiness. Deriving sharp insights from first principles.

People

Seth Neumuller is Associate Professor of Economics at Wellesley College where he teaches and conducts research in macroeconomics and finance. He holds a Ph.D. in economics from UCLA. His substack is Mildly Efficient (and Occasionally Rational).