Mildly Efficient (and Occasionally Rational)

Mildly Efficient (and Occasionally Rational)

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The Four Horsemen of the Labor Market
A deep dive into Austan Goolsbee's preferred metrics to evaluate the strength of the labor market
Aug 26 • 
Seth Neumuller

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Mildly Efficient (and Occasionally Rational)
Mildly Efficient (and Occasionally Rational)
The Four Horsemen of the Labor Market
Will AI alter the economy’s long run growth trajectory?
Unless this time is different, probably not
Aug 16 • 
Seth Neumuller

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Mildly Efficient (and Occasionally Rational)
Mildly Efficient (and Occasionally Rational)
Will AI alter the economy’s long run growth trajectory?
The Fed Should Ignore Tariff-Induced Inflation
Sometimes, doing nothing is the most disciplined and effective response of all.
Aug 7 • 
Seth Neumuller

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Mildly Efficient (and Occasionally Rational)
Mildly Efficient (and Occasionally Rational)
The Fed Should Ignore Tariff-Induced Inflation
Even at $950 per Share, Costco's Stock is Still a Bargain
Costco’s Stock Sports a PE Ratio Similar to Nvidia, But That Doesn’t Mean It’s Overpriced
Aug 1 • 
Seth Neumuller

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Mildly Efficient (and Occasionally Rational)
Mildly Efficient (and Occasionally Rational)
Even at $950 per Share, Costco's Stock is Still a Bargain
© 2025 Seth Neumuller
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